Premier League 2016/2017 xG Overperformers: Clinical Finishers on Unsustainable Form
In the 2016/2017 Premier League, a handful of teams scored far more often than their expected goals suggested they “should” have, producing a profile of low xG but high conversion that screamed overperformance. xG models for that season, alongside public discussions of goals versus expected goals, show that some sides regularly converted half-chances and difficult…
